This weekend we have the biggest competition we’ve ever observed for DraftKings MMA. We have a $10 entry competition with $300,000 in total prizes, and $100,000 of the to 1st place. I never believed we’d observe a 6-figure 1st place prize for MMA but I was wrong and I can’t wait to pursue it. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is going to be the biggest fight in UFC history and DraftKings just made it bigger for us DFS players. We are down to 12-fights so we could observe a range of ties for this 1st place prize, therefore try to be different with your lineups someplace, or make wages on the dining table to be different in that manner. With that said, here are a few plays I like this weekend Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Luque is the”safest” play on the card with a good margin in his -900 betting line. I love plugging in these high likelihood guys in cash so that I can lock a triumph in there and worry about locating 3 other wins out of my 5 other spots. We generally only want 4 wins in cash games to win against the money line, so that is what I shoot for in those 50/50 or twice up games. Luque has been very remarkable in his UFC conduct and he has beat some pretty big names. On paper, this is only one of his easiest matches nonetheless. In addition, he has big time upside with his finishing possible. He’s got an ITD lineup of -270, so I believe we could have 100+ points in this triumph. He is a fantastic play in most formats, but he will be chalky in tournaments, so that is why he is my money play of this week instead.
GPP drama of this week — Alexander Volkov ($8,700)
Heavyweights are always excellent to target in GPPs because it only takes 1 shot with a lot of those guys. I believe that this is a great matchup for Volkov and he is priced at $8.7k this week. If he can find a 1st round KO at that price, he’ll probably be on the winning LU. Same is true for Lewis, so he’s a good GPP drama too. But, my choice to win will be Volkov and I enjoy his cost. I think a few guys priced above him this week will be a lot more possessed, therefore we could get a heavyweight favorite at lower ownership . Fight Does Not Go To Conclusion is currently lined at -190, so this is a fantastic GPP fight to aim over all. If you enjoy the Dark Beast to find the W, then he’s a fantastic fighter to throw in your GPP LUs.
Underdog drama of this week — Tony Martin ($7,400)
This really is the best odds value on the card. Currently, Laflare is lined at -135 and Tony Martin is lined at +115. However, on DraftKings Laflare is priced $1,400 higher than Martin. I enjoy searching for line worth like that which alone puts Martin in drama in most formats. Martin also has the better odds to finish this battle ITD, so that’s another and with him. I like the floor for Martin in cash games also since Laflare isn’t very likely to finish if he wins. So, at $7.4k, we can afford a loss from Martin and just take the things he can rack up in 15-minutes.
Fade of this week — Sergio Pettis ($8,600)
Sergio Pettis could get the win . But he is going to have to acquire a end to pay off his $8.6k price tag. Sergio won’t be heading for almost any takedowns in this fight, and he doesn’t strike at a high enough speed for him to get 10x of the $8.6k. Sergio are the better fighter around the toes, but when he doesn’t get a finish he then likely only scores 60-70 points at a win. Those low scores don’t cut it in $8.6k. There are just better plays points each dollar and people are the guys I’ll be targeting. Sergio is a strong fade if you’re earning 20 or less lineups this weekend.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 on this link below:

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